Monday, July 20, 2020

Rolf Degen summarizing... People differ systematically in the tendency to see the best or worst in others, with women and the less educated being more likely to take a rosy view

Seeing the Best or Worst in Others: A Measure of Generalized Other-Perceptions. Richard Rau et al. Assessment, February 26, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1177/1073191120905015

Abstract: How positively or negatively people generally view others is key for understanding personality, social behavior, and psychopathology. Previous research has measured generalized other-perceptions by relying on either explicit self-reports or judgments made in group settings. With the current research, we overcome the limitations of these past approaches by introducing a novel measurement instrument for generalized other-perceptions: the Online-Tool for Assessing Perceiver Effects (O-TAPE). By assessing perceivers’ first impressions of a standardized set of target people displayed in social network profiles or short video sequences, the O-TAPE captures individual differences in the positivity of other-perceptions. In Study 1 (n = 219), the instrument demonstrated good psychometric properties and correlations with related constructs. Study 2 (n = 142) replicated these findings and also showed that the O-TAPE predicted other-perceptions in a naturalistic group setting. Study 3 (n = 200) refined the nomological network of the construct and demonstrated that the O-TAPE is invulnerable to effects of social desirability.

Keywords: generalized other-perception, perceiver effect, interpersonal perception, person judgment, positivity bias

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People differ systematically in the tendency to see the best or worst in others, with women and the less educated being more likely to take a rosy view

More text: https://www.bipartisanalliance.com/2020/01/the-better-people-are-educated-less.html

Decline in adolescent drinking: Some possible explanations

Decline in adolescent drinking: Some possible explanations. Ingeborg Rossow  Hilde Pape  Leila Torgersen. Drug and Alcohol Review, July 19 2020. https://doi.org/10.1111/dar.13132

Abstract
Introduction and Aims: Adolescent drinking has decreased in numerous high‐income countries in the 2000s, and how to explain this downward trend is far from clear. Focussing on the decline in drinking to intoxication among youth in Norway, we examined the following potential explanatory factors: family/home‐based and peer‐oriented leisure‐time activities, perceived parental drinking, drug substitution, school conscientiousness and delinquency.

Design and Methods: Data stemmed from cross‐sectional surveys of adolescents aged 13–17 years in the four largest cities in Norway in 2002 (n = 1204) and in 2013/2015 (n = 31 441). We examined the extent to which the decline in intoxication prevalence was attributable to the possible explanatory variables using logistic regression analysis.

Results: The proportion reporting any past‐year intoxication episodes dropped markedly from 2002 (41%) to 2013/2015 (22%). Family/home‐oriented leisure‐time activities and school conscientiousness increased, whereas hanging out with friends in the evening and delinquent behaviours decreased. These factors together accounted for 43% of this decline. Decrease in going out with friends was the most important factor. We found no empirical support for assumptions that perceived parental drinking or drug substitution had contributed to the decrease in drinking to intoxication.

Discussion and Conclusions: Since the millennium shift, urban adolescents in Norway have become more home‐, family‐ and school‐oriented, and less involved in unsupervised socialising with peers and delinquency. These changes may have contributed to some of the reduction in the prevalence of intoxication in this population group.


DISCUSSION
The intoxication frequency among urban adolescents in Norway decreased substantially from 2002 to 2013/2015. Concomitantly, adolescents' leisure‐time activities, school commitment and delinquent behaviour also changed markedly. We found no empirical support for assumptions that parents had modified their own drinking practice, or that adolescents substituted alcohol with cannabis. However, substantial changes in leisure‐time activities, school conscientiousness and delinquency could explain—in statistical terms—a large proportion of the decrease in drinking to intoxication.
The sizable temporal changes, both in adolescent drinking and in factors associated with drinking, corroborate the research findings from many countries [1]. Thus, concurrent with the downward drinking trend in the 2000s, substantial cross‐national changes in adolescents' lifestyles, leisure‐time activities and priorities have occurred. First, most studies indicate that hanging out with friends in the evenings occurs less frequently [141718], and that a marked increase in time spent on screen activities has occurred [28]. Some studies have also found an increase in spending time with parents [1729], as well as other changes that are indicative of closer ties to parents [3031]. This fits a broader picture of improved parenting and family relationships. Parents' knowledge about their adolescent offspring's whereabouts has increased, and alcohol‐specific parenting practices have become more restrictive [611-13]. At least in the Nordic countries, it seems that young people want to perform better at school than previously, with higher academic ambitions [832], which fits our findings of more school conscientiousness. Finally, and well in line with the above‐mentioned changes in young people's lives, delinquency and other risk‐taking behaviours have declined in several countries [8103031], as we also found.
The single most important factor to explain the decline in drinking in our study was the decrease in time hanging out with friends in the evening. Some previous studies [1417-19] have also found that a decrease in hanging out with friends contributed to a decrease in drinking. The decrease in unsupervised socialising with peers probably implies fewer opportunities for drinking to intoxication. It has been suggested that the rise in time spent on using information and communication technologies is important in this regard, as adolescents have become too busy with their media pursuits at the expense of activities, such as substance use, that typically occur in face‐to‐face social interactions [710]. However, the extant body of research does not support this assumption [1933], and a possible role of the use of digital media in this regard may be complex [1].
We also found that indicators of school conscientiousness accounted for a sizable part of the drop in intoxication prevalence. Truancy has also previously been shown to be of some importance in this regard [1214]. We found that the time spent on homework increased and that school misconduct decreased, and that these changes also contributed to explain the drop in drinking to intoxication. This fits well with a recent finding that a stronger emphasis on academic performance is not compatible with heavy alcohol consumption and frequent drinking to intoxication [32]. Hegna et al. [34] noted that the ‘educational explosion’ over the past few decades has left fewer options for those who do not complete senior high school, and it has been claimed that this has led to a more ‘conformist’ youth generation [35]. Our finding of a decrease in delinquency fits well into the picture of a more conformist lifestyle.
Several studies indicate that increased parental knowledge and stricter alcohol‐specific parenting have contributed to the downward drinking trend [611-13]. Kraus et al . [7] suggested that parents have also become less likely to drink in front of their adolescent children. However, we found no empirical support for this suggestion, as perceived parental drinking frequency did not change. On the other hand, we observed an increase in time spent on activities with parents. This observation is in line with previous findings of changes in family dynamics and closer parent–child relationships [71729-31], which are predictive of reduced drinking [1636]. These changes could also account for some of the reduction in intoxication frequency, and may suggest that adolescents' leisure time to a lesser extent includes social situations compatible with drinking, but rather favours ‘competing activities’ [37].

The Opioid Epidemic Was Not Caused by Economic Distress But by Factors that Could be More Rapidly Addressed

The Opioid Epidemic Was Not Caused by Economic Distress But by Factors that Could be More Rapidly Addressed. Janet Currie, Hannes Schwandt NBER Working Paper No. 27544, July 2020. https://www.nber.org/papers/w27544

Abstract: Without the opioid epidemic, American life expectancy would not have declined in recent years. In turn, the epidemic was sparked by the development and marketing of a new generation of prescription opioids and provider behavior is still helping to drive it. There is little relationship between the opioid crisis and contemporaneous measures of labor market opportunity. Cohorts and areas that experienced poor labor market conditions do show lagged increases in opioid mortality, but the effect is modest relative to the scale of the epidemic. Instead, we argue that there are specific policies and features of the U.S. health care market that led to the current crisis. It will not be possible to quickly reverse depressed economic conditions, but it is possible to implement policies that would reduce the number of new opioid addicts and save the lives of many of those who are already addicted.

Effects of credit restrictions in the Netherlands and lessons for macroprudential policy: 1960s-1990s

Effects of credit restrictions in the Netherlands and lessons for macroprudential policy. Gabriele Galati, Jan Kakes and Richhild Moessner. BIS Working Papers, No 872, July 20 2020. https://www.bis.org/publ/work872.htm

Focus: Macroprudential instruments, which play a key role in the current policy debate, have a long history. Some of the tools in current use originated as monetary policy instruments that were deployed in order to influence the credit supply. For example, the Netherlands used credit restrictions as a monetary policy instrument from the 1960s to the early 1990s. We study the effects of these credit restrictions on the balance sheet structure of banks and other financial institutions.

Contribution: Our contribution is to study the effects of credit restrictions on the balance sheet structure of banks and non-bank financial institutions. We analyse the effects separately for different types of bank - commercial banks, cooperatives, saving banks and mortgage banks - and institutional investors, since credit restrictions were not applied uniformly across different types of financial institution. This lets us compare "treated" with "untreated" institutions. We can also investigate to what extent credit controls led to leakages through cross-sectoral substitution and regulatory arbitrage.

Findings: We find that banks responded to credit restrictions by switching to long-term funding with a view to facilitating credit supply while still meeting the restrictions. Most categories of lending were not affected by credit controls and some even increased following the implementation of restrictions. Arguably, the restrictions were effective in reaching their main goal, ie containing money growth. Our results also suggest that the credit restrictions contributed to financial stability by making Dutch financial institutions more reliant on stable sources of funding.

Abstract: Credit restrictions were used as a monetary policy instrument in the Netherlands from the 1960s to the early 1990s. We study the effects of credit restrictions being active on the balance sheet structure of banks and other financial institutions. We find that banks mainly responded to credit restrictions by making adjustments to the liability side of their balance sheets, particularly by increasing the proportion of long-term funding. Responses on the asset side were limited, while part of the banking sector even increased lending after the installment of a restriction. These results suggest that banks and financial institutions responded by switching to long-term funding to meet the restriction and shield their lending business. Arguably, the credit restrictions were therefore still effective in reaching their main goal, i.e. containing money growth.

JEL classification: E42, E51, E52, E58, G28
Keywords: credit restrictions, monetary policy, macroprudential policy

Canada was left with a self-selected group who didn't want much from life: an agrarian, very religious, austere population of peasants and labourers who tended to see a consumer economy as generally sinful excess

Maximum Canada: Toward a Country of 100 Million Paperback. Doug Saunders. August 20, 2019. https://www.amazon.com/Maximum-Canada-Million-Canadians-Enough/dp/0735273103

"Americans were the first major population group to settle permanently in Canada in more than token numbers, and they dominated Canada's population for six decades.  From the 1770s until the 1830s, the majority of English-speaking Canadians were U.S.-born [...].

"Over the preceding decades, most ambitious and inventive immigrants to Canada had quickly departed for the United States.  The colonies were left with a self-selected group who didn't want much from life: an agrarian, very religious, austere population of peasants and labourers who tended to see change and growth as a threat rather than an opportunity and a consumer economy as generally sinful excess."

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From the editor:
Canada’s population has always grown slowly, when it has grown at all. That wasn’t by accident. For centuries before Confederation and a century after, colonial economic policies and an inward-facing world view isolated this country, attracting few of the people and building few of the institutions needed to sustain a sovereign nation. In fact, during most years before 1967, a greater number of people fled Canada than immigrated to it. Canada’s growth has faltered and left us underpopulated ever since.

Increased pillow talk (i.e., communication after sexual activity) produces greater relationship satisfaction for men (but not women), but does not benefit either group’s physiological stress responses

Exploring the effects of pillow talk on relationship satisfaction and physiological stress responses to couples’ difficult conversations. Amanda Denes, John P Crowley, Kara L Winkler, Anuraj Dhillon, Ambyre LP Ponivas, Margaret Bennett. Communication Monographs, Mar 2 2020. https://doi.org/10.1080/03637751.2020.1726424

Description: This study examined the effects of pillow talk (i.e., communication after sexual activity) on relationship satisfaction and physiological stress responses to difficult conversations. Fifty heterosexual couples were randomly assigned to either a pillow talk condition in which they doubled their pillow talk for three weeks or a control condition. After three weeks, participants came to the lab to engage in a conflict conversation. Saliva samples taken before and after the conversation were assayed for cortisol, a physiological marker of stress. The results indicate that increased pillow talk produces greater relationship satisfaction for men (but not women), but does not benefit either group’s physiological stress responses. The findings suggest that pillow talk has distinct benefits for romantic relationships.

KEYWORDS: Post sex communication, pillow talk, stress, resilience, affectionate communication