Zheng, Shuying, Xinyuan Yan, Jenifer Siegel, Vladimir Chituc, Shiyi Li, Molly Crockett, and Yina Ma. 2020. “Self-serving Karmic Beliefs: Prosociality Influences Vicarious Optimism.” PsyArXiv. January 2. doi:10.31234/osf.io/ecqgf
Abstract: Belief in karma is ubiquitous, appearing early in development and impacting prosocial behavior. Here, we tested the possibility that karmic beliefs are self-serving: are “good” people more likely to believe that good things happen to good people? Study 1 (n=170) showed stronger karmic beliefs in more prosocial individuals. Next, we tested whether self-serving karmic beliefs arose from a motivated deployment of vicarious optimism: prosocial individuals adopt karmic beliefs by prioritizing desirable (the fortunes of good people, the misfortunes of bad people) over undesirable information when predicting the future. Study 2 (n=107) showed that prosocials were more optimistic about the future of morally good (than bad) agents, while individualists were not. This was driven by prosocials’ failure to update beliefs from undesirable information about morally good agents. Together, we suggest that karmic beliefs are self-serving, and result from a failure to update beliefs from information that conflicts with a karmic worldview.
Discussion
Karma
denotes the belief that good things will happen to people who have done good
deeds, while misfortunes will befall bad people in the future. In the current
studies, combining the moral character learning and vicarious belief update
tasks, we are able to quantify the beliefs about the future of people who have
done objectively good or bad deeds. We show that
individuals hold optimistic beliefs about the future of good people and
discount undesirable feedback when predicting their futures. In contrast,
individuals similarly incorporate desirable and undesirable feedback into their
beliefs about bad people’s futures. These results suggest that vicarious
optimism is one possible cognitive mechanism that gives rise to karmic beliefs.
Furthermore, we show that prosocial individuals (relative to individualists)
hold stronger karmic beliefs and stronger vicarious optimism for good relative
to bad people, suggesting that karmic beliefs are self-serving: good people
more likely to believe that good things happen to good people.
People
hold karmic beliefs in both first-party and third-party contexts (Hafer &
Olson, 1989). If prosocials and individualists hold karmic beliefs to a similar
extent, we might expect strong optimistic belief updating for the self in
prosocials, and pessimistic belief updating for the self in individualists.
However, we observed that prosocials and individualists were similarly
optimistic about their own futures. One potential explanation is that the
wishful thinking for oneself outweighs karmic believes when there are any
conflicts (Mata & Simão, 2019). Alternatively, individualists may not identify
themselves as “bad people” given vast evidence that most people tend to view
themselves in a positive light (Sanitioso & Wlodarski, 2004). Thus, it is
possible that individualists believe in karma but view themselves as good
people who deserve an optimistic future. Given that we found weaker karmic
beliefs in individualists, the finding of similar optimistic beliefs for the
self in individualists and prosocials would lend further support to our
hypothesis that karmic beliefs are self-serving, so that strong karmic beliefs
motivates prosocial individuals to believe in a bright future (possibly caused
by the good deeds they did). Taken together, this suggests that the
self-serving nature of karmic beliefs applies to both the self and other
people.
One
limitation of our second study is that we only provide evidence for ‘half’ of
the karmic worldview, i.e., that good things will happen to good people; we did
not observe evidence for beliefs that bad things will happen to bad people.
Even prosocials who showed stronger karmic beliefs did not express pessimistic
beliefs about bad agents. This might be due to that, in
prosocials’ karmic belief system, good things not happening is already a type
of punishment for the bad people, given that prosocial generally care about
others and prefer not to do harm to others (Penner., Dovidio., Piliavin., &
Schroeder., 2005), thus prosocials do not
predict bad consequence for morally bad people. Indeed, the current sample, we
found evidence that prosocials showed stronger harm aversion in the moral
decision task where they trade off profit for themselves against pain for another
person (harm aversion: prosocials vs. individualists, t(101) = 4.39, p <
0.001, 95% CI = [0.11, 0.29], Cohen d’ = 0.43).
In conclusion, the current study provides a novel
framework to decipher the cognitive processes that give rise to karmic beliefs,
and further proposes that karmic beliefs may be subject to self-serving
motivations. Our findings suggest that karmic beliefs – a feature of many
religious traditions – may be a key component of a positive feedback loop
between beliefs and behavior that together contribute to large-scale
cooperation.